Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-03 00:00:00+00:00 2143.717488 2334.243960 2528.555147 2741.259501 2967.252624 3199.905043 3457.220297
2024-11-10 00:00:00+00:00 1863.496068 2146.634880 2447.372709 2789.443122 3166.569248 3568.497977 4028.073150
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 1656.275419 1990.944275 2357.375302 2786.018636 3271.267959 3801.172356 4421.142329
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 1481.796298 1848.618087 2260.926206 2754.854112 3326.514320 3963.413152 4722.577015
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 1373.124981 1769.290969 2224.766646 2781.556974 3438.032319 4181.657834 5081.663660
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 1266.660847 1682.697446 2171.267530 2779.798365 3509.545349 4348.666121 5378.228392
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 1202.697387 1641.575733 2166.683255 2831.465670 3640.393670 4582.544588 5751.965635
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 1111.622333 1560.225118 2107.329675 2811.484192 3680.958586 4706.593722 5994.243843
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 1069.197519 1536.939026 2116.727371 2873.374030 3819.131708 4946.544944 6375.291220
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 1011.009306 1489.350819 2092.187570 2890.022765 3899.529831 5115.594293 6671.021978
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 952.090842 1437.115478 2058.458116 2892.138353 3959.581118 5258.455558 6934.590396
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 862.210260 1338.250957 1959.546962 2806.143769 3904.575891 5256.172774 7017.457665
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 846.451845 1340.793861 1994.745863 2895.787149 4075.948071 5539.642845 7460.163667
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 816.730209 1322.232439 2000.642989 2946.422810 4197.527788 5762.085677 7829.676865
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 769.694646 1276.425436 1967.307231 2942.850298 4247.220922 5892.920657 8084.408956
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 716.241263 1218.359904 1914.397033 2910.363591 4256.848968 5971.214006 8271.998844
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 686.823071 1193.896856 1906.741124 2938.199588 4345.583189 6151.051306 8589.726443
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 649.933636 1156.223377 1878.662151 2936.366435 4393.558928 6277.664205 8839.569125
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 632.669195 1147.390552 1890.982477 2990.219024 4516.607464 6502.808085 9218.128778
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 594.290200 1103.857665 1851.306863 2969.393594 4536.920529 6592.473268 9420.934336
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 582.839222 1101.944049 1871.987876 3033.892718 4674.263572 6837.412713 9827.925301
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 558.925135 1078.861275 1860.291198 3051.240999 4746.169520 6995.633463 10122.167616
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 532.354276 1050.079572 1838.838519 3053.445409 4796.340767 7124.656051 10378.463756